Center for the Study of Public Health Impacts of Hurricanes
(A HEF Center*)

Director: Ivor Ll. van Heerden, Ph.D.
Phone: 225-578-5974
Email: ivor@hurricane.lsu.edu

Experimental Storm Surge Flood Models

These models were developed as part of a joint project between the LSU Hurricane Center, the Center for the Study of Public Health Impacts of Hurricanes, and the University of Notre Dame

Click here to visit the Center for the Study of Public Health Impacts of Hurricanes web site. To return to this page, please use the BACK button on your browser.


DISCLAIMER:
The LSU hurricane surge models are produced for research, educational and
information purposes only. These model outputs are not meant to be used for
planning. For evacuation and similar information contact your local emergency
management officials.

INFORMATION ON LSU MODEL OUTPUTS:
These surge outputs are produced using a modified version of the ADCIRC
hydrodynamic code. Depicted is the maximum elevation of the storm surge,
in feet about mean sea level. The water elevations shown reflect only the
rise in level associated with the surge generated by the tropical cyclone;
they do not include water level variations from mean sea level because
of local meteorological conditions not associated with the tropical cyclone
(i.e. setup at a coast due to local sea breezes), and do not include local rise
in the storm tide because of large wind-generated waves. Normal astronomical
tides are included in the surge outputs. The user, in trying to assess the potential
surge in their area of interest, must take into account all local meteorological
effects, which could significantly increase surge elevations.

NUMBERING SYSTEM:
A run designated by a number, i.e., # 16 means that the track and storm
characteristics were based on the National Hurricane Center's Advisory of that
number. A number such as 16 W means that we have created a track, using the
National Hurricane Center's Advisory 16 for size, strength, and forward speed of
the tropical cyclone being modeled, BUT we have placed the track along the
western edge of the Track Advisory Cone of Uncertainty. Because of the dire
consequences of a major hurricane striking New Orleans, we will occasionally
run tracks along the edge of the NHC cone of track uncertainty, to see if New
Orleans could be flooded, should the storm take this path. For more information see
www.hurricane.lsu.edu,, www.publichealth.hurricane.lsu.edu, and www.nd.edu/~adcirc/.


2005 Storm Information:


HURRICANE RITA

Hurricane Rita Advisory #24- updated 09/22/2005

Hurricane Rita Advisory #21- updated 09/22/2005

Hurricane Rita Advisory #19- updated 09/22/2005

Hurricane Rita Advisory #18- updated 09/22/2005

Hurricane Rita Advisory #17- updated 09/22/2005

Wind Damage Assesment (Adv 28)- updated 09/22/2005 (.9 MB)

Wind Damage Assesment (Adv 25)- updated 09/22/2005 (.9 MB)

Wind Damage Assesment (Adv 24)- updated 09/22/2005 (2.5 MB)

 
High Resolution ADCIRC Surge Prediction Map of Louisiana for Hurricane Rita (PDF - Zoomable)- updated 09/22/2005 (457 KB)
ADCIRC Surge Prediction Map of Louisiana for Hurricane Rita (JPG)- updated 09/22/2005 (1.6 MB)
High Resolution Map of Louisiana for Hurricane Rita- updated 09/22/2005 (6 MB)


Imagery of New Orleans Area After Hurricane Katrina (Flooding Visible)

New Orleans Area SPOT Imagery
Greater New Orleans Area Zoomed SPOT Imagery
New Orleans East Zoomed Imagery
New Orleans West Zoomed Imagery
GeoReferenced TIF SPOT Imagery (20 MB)

Please note: SPOT images are the property of SICORP. Please refer to their website for information about their use.

"Deadly" Funnel Surge Velocity Data "Deadly" Funnel Surge Depth Data
ADCIRC Model - Flood Hydrographs
New Orleans Elevation Map
High Resolution New Orleans Elevation Map (6 MB File )
Flooding Based Water Elevation Map +3 Feet
Flooding Based Water Elevation Map +4 Feet
Flooding Based Water Elevation Map +5 Feet


Hurricane Katrina Hindcast - updated 09/13/05

Hurricane Katrina Advisory #25- updated 08/29/2005

Hurricane Katrina Advisory #22- updated 08/28/2005

Hurricane Katrina Advisory #18- updated 08/28/2005

Hurricane Katrina Advisory #17 LSU- updated 08/28/2005

Hurricane Katrina Advisory #17- updated 08/27/2005

Hurricane Katrina Advisory #16- updated 08/27/2005

Hurricane Emily Advisory #27 North- updated 07/17/2005

Hurricane Emily Advisory #27- updated 07/17/2005

Hurricane Dennis Advisory #21 Strong- updated 07/10/2005

Hurricane Dennis Advisory #21- updated 07/10/2005

Hurricane Dennis Advisory #16- updated 07/08/2005

Hurricane Dennis Advisory #13 - updated 07/08/2005

Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory - updated 07/05/2005

Tropical Storm Arlene Advisory - updated 06/11/2005


2004 Storm Information:

Hurricane Jeanne Advisory - updated 09/27/2004

Hurricane Ivan Advisory #52 - updated 09/14/2004

Hurricane Ivan Advisory #49 West - updated 09/14/2004

Hurricane Ivan Advisory #48 - updated 09/14/2004

Hurricane Ivan Advisory #45 - updated 09/14/2004

Hurricane Ivan Advisory #44West - updated 09/13/2004

Hurricane Ivan Advisory #41West - updated 09/12/2004

Hurricane Ivan Advisory #41 - updated 09/12/2004

Hurricane Ivan Advisory #37 - updated 09/11/2004

Hurrica ne Ivan Advisory #33 - updated 09/11/2004

Hurricane Charley - updated 08/13/2004

Tropical Storm Bonnie - updated 08/12/2004

Hurricane PAM Exercise - updated 07/26/2004


2003 Storm Information:

No ADCIRC runs were made as no serious storms threatened Louisiana.


2002 Storm Information:

Hurricane Lili - updated 10/04/00Z

Tropical Storm Isidore - updated 10/01/21Z


Historic Storm Animations:

These animations are available in the Autodesk *.flc format. These animations are viewable using the Apple QuickTime software. For more information and troubleshooting information, please click here.

If the above troubleshooting does not help, please click here for further help.

Hurricane Betsy (1965):

Hurricane Andrew (1992):

Simulation in Southern Louisiana
Simulation in Southeastern Louisiana
Simulation in New Orleans
Simulation in Downtown New Orleans


The Notre Dame ADCIRC Overview Site can be viewed here.

*HEF: A Louisiana Board of Regents sponsored Health Excellence Fund Center


If your PC does not easily open the animations with Quicktime, etc., please use the following procedure:

1. Download the Powerflic Application: You may download the application by clicking here. CREATE A NEW FOLDER on your desktop or other location (e.g., named “Storm Surge Animations” or “Powerflic” etc.) and SAVE Powerflic there. [You may be asked to “extract the files.” Press OK, and EXTRACT THE FILES to the same location (the new folder)].

2. Using INTERNET EXPLORER (Netscape is not recommended), return to this site (http://www.hurricane.lsu.edu/floodprediction) using INTERNET EXPLORER: (Netscape does not work as well). Right click on each storm animation and choose “SAVE TARGET AS” and save each one to the new folder created above. You may wish to rename each animation (e.g., Betsy – So LA, etc.) to better identify each animation.

3. Open Powerflic: Click on POWERFLC or Powerflic.exe (looks like a clip of a movie reel)

4. Open the Animations: In Powerflic, a small tool bar/box will appear similar to Windows Media Player or other movie player. Click on the top left open folder (picture) to “Open” an animation. “Browse” for the folder where you saved each animation. Click on the animation you wish to view. Press the Green Arrow to “Play,” the red stop sign to “Stop” and the “X” at the right to close, etc. You may also adjust the picture and slow down the animation from this tool bar.