Notes on Model Runs

 

SPECIAL NOTE:

Storm Surge Run 21 Strong was compiled using the official National Hurricane
Center Advisory 21 track, but the winds at landfall were increased to CAT 4 strength.

Model Run 1

ADCIRC Simulation for Hurricane Dennis Advisory #16 Strong was
completed using meteorologic information from the Unisys web site posted as of
07-08-2005. This was the measured historical track combined with the concensus
forecast. Max velocities to pressures for the forecast track were estimated.

The hurricane wind/presure simulator used was PBL using the specified
track information.

Results of the flc formatted movie and max surge height during
the event are in feets. Results of the plotted hydrographs are in feet NGVD.
Note that no tides are steric effects have been added. Steric effects
during fall can add another 1.0 to 1.5 feet. Also local subsidence
has not been accounted for. Therefore surge forcasts should be considered
as additional water level change due to storm effects.