Notes on Model Runs 1

 

Model Run 1

ADCIRC Simulation Hurricane Jeanne Advisory was completed
using meteo information from the Unisys web site posted as of 09-14-2004
This was the measured historical track combined with the concensus forecast.
Max velocities to pressures for the forecast track were estimated
using vmax=14*(1013-pcenter)**0.5 (wind speed knots and pressure mb).

The hurricane wind/presure simulator used was PBL using the specified
track information.

Results of the flc formatted movie and max surge height during the event are in feets. Results of the plotted hydrographs are in feet NGVD.
Note that no tides are steric effects have been added. Steric effects
during fall can add another 1.0 to 1.5 feet. Also local subsidence
has not been accounted for. Therefore surge forcasts should be considered
as additional water level change due to storm effects.